CAJ | 학술논문

针对海底管线工程项目风险的评价具有模糊性的特点,运用模糊数学综合评价原理,结合层次风险分析方法,建立海底管线失效因素系统、确定评价指标体系.通过专家打分法及历史统计数据确定了各影响因素的权重,并结合实际工程状况,运用模糊层次分析法算出该海底管线的风险值.
침대해저관선공정항목풍험적평개구유모호성적특점,운용모호수학종합평개원리,결합층차풍험분석방법,건립해저관선실효인소계통、학정평개지표체계.통과전가타분법급역사통계수거학정료각영향인소적권중,병결합실제공정상황,운용모호층차분석법산출해해저관선적풍험치.
Risk evaluation of the submarine pipeline engineering project has the characteristic of fuzziness. Due to the aforementioned characteristic, this paper utilizes the fuzzy mathematics comprehensive evaluation principle,combined with the level of risk analysis method, to establish respectively a failure factor system and an evaluation index system for the submarine pipeline. The weight of each influencing factor can be determined by using expert evaluation method and statistical data. With the actual project conditions, the risk values of submarine pipeline can be calculated by combining the fuzzy analytic hierarchy process (AHP).